"Dual process" theories of reasoning -- which have been around for a long time in social psychology -- posit (for the sake of forming and testing hypotheses; positing for any other purpose is obnoxious) that there is an important distinction between two types of mental operations.
Very generally, one of these involves largely unconscious, intuitive reasoning and the other conscious,…Continue
Added by dmkahan on February 21, 2012 at 5:35 — No Comments
We often are told that "dire news" on climate change provokes dissonance-driven resistance.Continue
Added by dmkahan on February 10, 2012 at 12:17 — No Comments
In an earlier post, I presented some data that displayed how public perceptions of risk vary across putative hazards and how perceptions of each of those risks varies between cultural subgroups.
The risk perceptions were measured by asking respondents to indicate on “a scale of 0-10 with 0 being ‘no risk at all’ and 10 meaning ‘extreme risk,’ how much risk…Continue
Added by dmkahan on February 9, 2012 at 13:30 — No Comments
Was at a conference recently & a (perfectly nice & really smart) guy in the audience warns everyone not to take social psychology data on risk perception too seriously: "some of the studies have R2's of only 0.15...."
Oy.... Where to start? Well how about with this: the R2 for viagra effectiveness versus placebo ...…Continue
Added by dmkahan on February 6, 2012 at 12:30 — No Comments